NJ Fiscal Folly

Monday, May 22, 2006

State Revenue Updates

State Treasurer Bradley Abelow and the NJ OLS today released revised revenue projections for FY 2006 and FY 2007. The two sets of numbers have not been totally reconciled, but these types of revisions are normal for any large, complex budget.

The most important revelation is that Abelow now expects FY 2007 revenues to be $441 million lower than previously forecast. The primary reason for this shortfall is a lower growth rate in gross income taxes (GIT), which are substantially affected by a small number of taxpayers with less predictable incomes (eg, capital gains). The revenue shortfall also results from lower corporate business taxes (CBT) than previously forecast.

Abelow's FY 2007 figures still include the sales tax increase, and apparently still include the controversial hospital bed tax ($215 million for the state).

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